Tornado Watch Issued for Portions of Indiana, Michigan, and Ohio

Strategic Insights -

A tornado watch has been issued for a large portion of extreme northeastern Indiana, southern Lower Michigan, and northwestern Ohio, as a strong supercell storm moves east-southeastward along a baroclinic zone. The watch is effective from 805 AM EDT until 300 PM EDT on Tuesday, August 6, 2024. The National Weather Service Storm Prediction Center has warned of potential tornadoes, damaging wind gusts, and isolated large hail events.

Key Takeaways:

  • A tornado watch has been issued for extreme northeastern Indiana, southern Lower Michigan, and northwestern Ohio due to a strong supercell storm.
  • The watch is effective from 805 AM EDT until 300 PM EDT on Tuesday, August 6, 2024.
  • Primary threats include a couple tornadoes, scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph, and isolated large hail events to 1.5 inches in diameter.
  • A small cluster of thunderstorms, including a strong supercell, is moving east-southeastward along a baroclinic zone.
  • The tornado watch area is approximately along and 30 statute miles north and south of a line from 15 miles southwest of Kalamazoo, MI, to 45 miles east of Toledo, OH.
  • Persons in the affected areas should be on the lookout for threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible warnings.

Statistics:

  • Time: 805 AM EDT - 300 PM EDT (Tuesday, August 6, 2024)
  • Tornado threat: 40% probability of 2 or more tornadoes
  • Strong tornado threat: 20% probability of 1 or more EF2-EF5 tornadoes
  • Wind threat: 40% probability of 10 or more severe wind events
  • Severe hail threat: 20% probability of 10 or more severe hail events
  • Combined severe hail and wind threat: 60% probability of 6 or more combined severe hail and wind events

Sources:

  • National Weather Service Storm Prediction Center
  • NWS Watch Outline Update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU4)
  • Aviation Weather Watch (SAW4 WW 604)