Nintendo Forecasts 15 Million Switch 2 Units Sold, Projects Significant Growth

Strategic Insights -

Nintendo's anticipated Switch 2 console is expected to be a game-changer for the company, with a projected sales forecast of 15 million units for the fiscal year ending March 2026. The new console, priced at $449.99 in the US, features several hardware improvements over the original Switch. This significant growth is driven by the launch of the Switch 2, which is set for release in June. Meanwhile, Nintendo's financial performance in the fourth quarter of fiscal year 2025 saw revenue fall and profit decline compared to the previous year, a trend largely anticipated by analysts.

Key Takeaways:

  • Nintendo expects to sell 15 million units of the Switch 2 console in the fiscal year ending March 2026, a significant increase from the 10.8 million units sold in the full fiscal year ended March 31.
  • The company projects net sales of 1.9 trillion yen and a net profit of 300 billion yen in fiscal year 2026, showing substantial growth driven by the Switch 2 launch.
  • Nintendo has priced the Switch 2 at $449.99 in the US and the console features several hardware improvements over the original Switch.
  • Despite financial uncertainty, Nintendo has based its forecasts on current tariff rates, but warned that increased duties could negatively impact US demand and profit by tens of billions of yen.
  • Microsoft and Sony have raised prices of their respective consoles Xbox and PlayStation in certain markets, potentially impacting the demand for Nintendo's Switch 2 console.
  • Nintendo cancelled the original April 9 preorder window for the US to assess the impact of the tariffs on US demand.

Statistics:

  • 15 million: Projected sales of Switch 2 units in the fiscal year ending March 2026.
  • 1.9 trillion yen: Projected net sales of Nintendo in fiscal year 2026.
  • 300 billion yen: Projected net profit of Nintendo in fiscal year 2026.
  • 10.8 million: Switch units sold in the full fiscal year ended March 31.
  • $449.99: Price of the Switch 2 in the US.
  • June: Release date of the Switch 2 console.

Sources:

  • CNBC
  • Nintendo (official sales forecast and financial reports)