Tornado Watch Issued for South-Central and West-Central Texas

Strategic Insights -

A tornado watch has been issued for parts of South-Central and West-Central Texas, with intense thunderstorm development and supercells expected to form through the afternoon and evening. The watch area is approximately 90 statute miles east and west of a line from 40 miles north-northwest of San Angelo, Texas, to 50 miles south-southeast of Hondo, Texas. The National Weather Service Storm Prediction Center has issued the watch, which is in effect from 235 PM CDT until 1000 PM CDT.

Key Takeaways:

  • The tornado watch area includes portions of South-Central and West-Central Texas, with the watch effective from 235 PM CDT to 1000 PM CDT.
  • Primary threats include a couple of tornadoes, widespread large hail, and scattered damaging winds.
  • Intense thunderstorm development, including supercells, will occur through mid/late afternoon across the Edwards Plateau/Concho Valley.
  • Very large hail is expected with the most intense storms, and some tornado threat will exist as well.
  • Clusters of east/southeastward-moving storms may evolve by early evening with a heightened severe-wind potential toward the Hill Country/I-35 vicinity.
  • The watch area is approximately along and 90 statute miles east and west of a line from 40 miles north-northwest of San Angelo, Texas, to 50 miles south-southeast of Hondo, Texas.
  • A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
  • Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible warnings.
  • The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area, with the actual watch depicted by the shaded areas.
  • SAW1 WW indicates the Aviation Watch (SAW) product, WW 331 is the Tornado Watch number, and TORNADO TX 261935Z indicates the watch area is for Texas.

Statistics:

  • Time of watch issuance: 235 PM CDT
  • Expiration time: 1000 PM CDT
  • Watch area: Approximately 90 statute miles east and west of a line from 40 miles north-northwest of San Angelo, Texas, to 50 miles south-southeast of Hondo, Texas.
  • Primary threats:

+ Couple of tornadoes: 10%

+ Widespread large hail: 80%

+ Scattered damaging winds: 20%

  • Probability of severe events:

+ 2 or more tornadoes: 40%

+ 1 or more strong (EF2-EF5) tornadoes: 20%

+ 10 or more severe wind events: 50%

+ 1 or more wind events 65 knots: 50%

+ 10 or more severe hail events: 80%

+ 1 or more hailstones 2 inches: 50%

+ 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events: 95%

Sources:

  • National Weather Service Storm Prediction Center
  • URGENT -- IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Tornado Watch Number 331 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 235 PM CDT Mon May 26 2025
  • MIL OSI USA News (http://milnz.co.nz/mil-osi-aggregation/) - Copyright 2025 Multimedia Investments Ltd, distributed by Contify.com