HIV/AIDS Mortality Trends in Mexico: Analysis of National Death Registries (1998-2022)

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Mexican researchers have been studying HIV/AIDS mortality trends in Mexico from 1998 to 2022. Utilizing data from the Mexican National Death Registry, they analyzed deaths related to advanced HIV disease (AHD) and its associated characteristics. The study's findings indicate a high and increasing proportion of deaths attributed to AHD, with 54% of total deaths occurring throughout the study period. The predicted probability of death related to AHD decreased from 75% to 35% between 2000 and 2012 but increased after 2014 to 52% in 2022.

Key Takeaways:

  • The study analyzed data from the Mexican National Death Registry, consisting of 106,056 registered deaths among people with HIV from 1998 to 2022.
  • The most common cause of death was related to AHD, accounting for 54% of total deaths throughout the study period.
  • The predicted probability of death related to AHD decreased from 75% to 35% between 2000 and 2012 but increased after 2014 to 52% in 2022.
  • 22% of deaths occurred very early, and 25% occurred early after HIV diagnosis.
  • Calendar year was the only strong predictor of death due to AHD.
  • The study concluded that additional components of the public health HIV response might be lacking in Mexico, highlighting the importance of country-specific analyses.

Statistics:

  • 106,056 registered deaths among people with HIV in Mexico between 1998 and 2022.
  • 54% of deaths were related to AHD throughout the study period.
  • Predicted probability of death related to AHD decreased from 75% to 35% between 2000 and 2012.
  • Predicted probability of death related to AHD increased from 35% to 52% in 2022 after 2014.
  • 22% of deaths occurred very early after HIV diagnosis.
  • 25% of deaths occurred early after HIV diagnosis.
  • Calendar year was the only strong predictor of death due to AHD.

Sources:

  • (NewsRx). Researchers at Salvador Zubiran National Institute of Health Sciences and Nutrition Report New Data on HIV/AIDS [Trends In Mortality Among People With Hiv In Mexico: Analysis of National Death Registries (1998-2022)]. AIDS Weekly. October 27, 2025; p 124.
  • Trends In Mortality Among People With Hiv In Mexico: Analysis of National Death Registries (1998-2022). Open Forum Infectious Diseases, 2025;12(9).
  • Oxford Univ Press Inc, Journals Dept, 2001 Evans Rd, Cary, NC 27513, USA.