Ken Livingstone Staves Off Tory Challenge in London Mayoral Election

Strategic Insights -

Ken Livingstone has maintained his lead in the London mayoral election, with polls suggesting a narrow victory over Tory candidate Steve Norris. A MORI poll for ITV News gave Livingstone a 54% to 46% lead, while YouGov for Sky News reported a six-point margin. Despite initial concerns about a reduced turnout, the polls suggest that Livingstone's decision to return to the Labour fold may have had an unexpected impact, galvanizing Labour support.

Key Takeaways:

  • Livingstone won the mayoral election with a narrow margin of 54% to 46% over Steve Norris, according to a MORI poll for ITV News.
  • YouGov for Sky News reported a six-point margin in favour of Livingstone.
  • The turnout was predicted to be 37%, slightly higher than the 2000 Greater London Authority elections.
  • Labour's decision to return Livingstone to the party may have hurt him more than anticipated, but ultimately boosted his chances.
  • The UK Independence party is poised to gain seats in the London assembly, polling 9% and mainly taking votes from the Tories.
  • Liberal Democrat candidate Simon Hughes came third, polling 17% (MORI) and 18% (YouGov).
  • Counting begins at 9am and results are expected by early evening.

Statistics:

  • 54% of voters supported Ken Livingstone (MORI poll)
  • 46% of voters supported Steve Norris (MORI poll)
  • 6-point margin in favour of Livingstone (YouGov for Sky News)
  • 37% predicted turnout (MORI)
  • 9% of voters polled for the UK Independence party (MORI)
  • 17% of voters polled for Simon Hughes (MORI)
  • 18% of voters polled for Simon Hughes (YouGov)

Sources:

  • MORI poll for ITV News
  • YouGov for Sky News
  • ITV News
  • Sky News