Macron's State Visit to the UK Amid Growing Pressure on Migrant Deal

Strategic Insights -

French President Emmanuel Macron arrived in the UK on Tuesday for his first state visit since Brexit, sparking concerns that the "one in, one out" deal to return illegal migrants and halt small boat crossings may be on the brink of collapse. Amid increasing pressure on Prime Minister Rishi Sunak, Macron's visit comes as the UK presses for tougher action from French authorities on the Channel coast. However, European countries are reportedly opposed to the deal, citing concerns that it may see asylum seekers returned to their shores.

Key Takeaways:

  • Macron's state visit began with concerns that the "one in, one out" deal may be close to collapse, with opposition from other EU countries.
  • Italy, Spain, Greece, Malta, and Cyprus have written to the European Commission, fearing the deal could see asylum seekers returned to their shores.
  • Downing Street insists the deal is not dead, but acknowledges the picture is "complex" as the UK is on course for a new record in illegal crossings.
  • Macron is reportedly demanding that Sir Keir make Britain less appealing to Channel migrants in order to get the deal over the line.
  • Sir Keir and President Macron have an "excellent working relationship," according to a Downing Street spokesperson.
  • The "one in, one out" agreement is expected to be discussed during the summit, but a spokesperson refused to comment on specifics.
  • Alongside Downing Street talks, Sir Keir and Mr Macron are also expected to attend a reception with UK and French businesses and an event at the British Museum on Wednesday.

Statistics:

  • The total number of people crossing the Channel in small boats this year has passed 20,000, a record for this point in the year.
  • The UK is on course for a new record in illegal crossings, with Downing Street acknowledging the "complex" picture.

Sources:

  • Palmes (no date mentioned)
  • The Telegraph
  • Downing Street spokeswoman