The Rise of the African Democratic Congress: A Coalition to Thwart Tinubu's Presidency?

Strategic Insights -

As the All Progressives Congress (APC) faces a growing threat from a coalition of opposition parties, led by the African Democratic Congress (ADC), the stage is set for a potentially contentious 2027 presidential election. Former PDP governors and lawmakers, including Bola Tinubu's estranged ally, Rauf Aregbesola, have defected to the ADC, joining former Vice President Atiku Abubakar, former Labour Party candidate Peter Obi, and other high-profile politicians. This development has sparked concerns about a one-party state and Tinubu's potential entrenchment beyond 2027.

Key Takeaways:

  • The African Democratic Congress (ADC) has formed a coalition, drawing in former PDP governors and lawmakers, as well as high-profile politicians like Atiku Abubakar and Peter Obi.
  • Former Senate President David Mark has been installed as Interim National Chairman, while former APC Governor of Osun State, Rauf Aregbesola, serves as National Secretary.
  • The coalition includes elements from the Congress for Progressive Change (CPC) wing of the APC loyal to Muhammadu Buhari, Labour Party, and others.
  • These opposition leaders aim to challenge Tinubu's presidency, despite concerns about a "gang-up" of "strange bedfellows".
  • The fate of Peter Obi's dynamic support base, the Obidient Movement, and Atiku's role in the primaries remain uncertain.
  • Tinubu's allies, including Dr John Oyegun, a former APC National Chairman, have been accused of secretly working to undermine the opposition coalition.

Statistics:

  • Since its formation in 2013, the APC has benefited from numerous defections from the Peoples Democratic Party (PDP).
  • At least 5 PDP governors and numerous lawmakers have defected to join the ADC coalition.
  • The coalition includes over a dozen high-profile politicians, including former Vice President Atiku Abubakar and former Labour Party candidate Peter Obi.
  • The ADC has gained significant momentum with its coalition, which has been dismissed as a "gang-up" by skeptics.

Sources:

  • Vanguard (2025) - "Rise of the ADC: A coalition to thwart Tinubu's presidency?"
  • AllAfrica Global Media (2023) - Distributed by AllAfrica.com