Gas Prices Fall Below $3 a Gallon Amid Presidential Election

As the presidential election approaches, gas prices have been steadily decreasing, reaching below $3 a gallon in many parts of the country. Americans have historically used gas prices as a gauge for the economy, with falling prices often lifting the incumbent's approval ratings. However, experts caution that this may not be the case this time around, as voters' concerns about rising costs for housing, food, and utilities have taken center stage.

Key Takeaways:

  • Gas prices have been averaging $3.14 per gallon nationwide, within 8 cents of a 3-year low, according to AAA.
  • Prices range from $2.70 to $2.90 per gallon throughout much of the GOP-leaning Sun Belt.
  • Falling gas prices are a notable exception to the elevated prices of other necessities, such as housing, food, and utilities.
  • Voters are more focused on rising costs for housing, food, and utilities, with consumer sentiment remaining depressed due to pandemic-era inflation.
  • For Mohammed Ismail, an IT worker in Upstate New York, gas prices have not been enough to sway him politically, as he is still concerned about the economy and high bills.
  • Presidents typically have little control over gas prices, which are determined by a mix of geopolitical and economic factors.
  • Both candidates, Joe Biden and Donald Trump, have vowed to take on inflation across the economy, with Trump promising to lower fuel costs to $1.87 a gallon.
  • Harris has stressed the need to rein in "price gouging" and reduce the country's use of foreign oil by investing in other sources of energy, such as natural gas and solar.

Statistics:

  • Gas prices have fallen 15 percent in the last year.
  • The inflation rate has eased dramatically from a peak of 9.1 percent in June 2022 to 2.4 percent.
  • Consumer sentiment is still depressed, with a pandemic-era burst of inflation lifting costs for necessities.
  • Gas prices have doubled in a span of two years, peaking at $5.01 per gallon in June 2022, but have since come down by nearly 40 percent.

Sources:

  • "Gas prices are averaging $3.14 per gallon nationwide, within 8 cents of a 3-year low." - AAA
  • "Americans have a history of rewarding or punishing presidents based on how things are going at the pump." - Jon Krosnick, political science and psychology professor at Stanford University
  • "The decrease in gas prices doesn't seem to be making as much of a difference this year." - Laurel Harbridge-Yong, political science professor at Northwestern University
  • "Given how close we are to the election and how many other issues are out there, I don't think slightly lower gas prices are changing too many people's opinions at this point." - Carola Binder, economics professor at the University of Texas at Austin
  • "Gas is kind of a funny thing. It fluctuates so much that who knows what it's going to be like tomorrow? It's not something we can count on." - Brittney Brown, owner of a floral shop in Wilmington, North Carolina