Tornado Watch Issued for West-Central and North-Central Texas
A Tornado Watch has been issued by the National Weather Service Storm Prediction Center for portions of West-Central into North-Central Texas, effective Sunday afternoon and evening from 430 PM until 1000 PM CDT. The watch area includes counties such as Brown County, Eastland County, and Wichita County. Supercells will continue to rapidly develop, posing a threat for both a few tornadoes and large to very large hail.
Key Takeaways:
- A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
- The watch area is approximately along and 60 statute miles east and west of a line from 15 miles southwest of Brownwood, Texas, to 25 miles north-northwest of Wichita Falls, Texas.
- Supercells will continue to rapidly develop and pose a threat for both a few tornadoes and large to very large hail this afternoon and evening.
- A strong tornado may occur with any persistent supercell this evening as low-level shear increases.
- The largest hailstones may reach up to 2-3 inches in diameter.
- Tornadoes, severe thunderstorms, and extreme turbulence are expected, with high wind gusts and large hail.
- Aviation Watch (SAW) is an approximation to the watch area, with actual watch depicted by shaded areas.
Statistics:
- 60% Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
- 30% Probability of 1 or more strong (EF2-EF5) tornadoes
- 40% Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
- 20% Probability of 1 or more wind events 65 knots
- 70% Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
- 70% Probability of 1 or more hailstones 2 inches
- 90% Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
Sources:
- NWS Storm Prediction Center
- US National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA)
- MIL OSI USA News
- Contify.com