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Tornadoes

Tornado Watch Issued for Western and Northern Arkansas, Southeast and Eastern Oklahoma, and Far Northeast Texas

Strategic Insights

— 1 min read

A Tornado Watch has been issued by the National Weather Service's Storm Prediction Center for portions of Western and Northern Arkansas, Southeast and Eastern Oklahoma, and Far Northeast Texas. The watch will be in effect from 6:50 PM CDT Monday evening to 2:00 AM CDT Tuesday morning. Multiple supercells and clusters are expected to spread northeastward, posing a risk of several tornadoes, including some that could be intense (EF2-3+).

Key Takeaways:

  • The tornado watch area is approximately along and 95 statute miles east and west of a line from 50 miles east-southeast of Durant, OK to 20 miles northeast of Harrison, AR.
  • Multiple supercells and clusters are expected to spread northeastward, posing a risk of several tornadoes, including some that could be intense (EF2-3+).
  • Some upscale growth is anticipated later in the evening, with an increasing threat for numerous to widespread severe/damaging winds, peak gusts of up to 70-80 mph.
  • Large hail up to 2.5-3.5 inches in diameter also appears likely with embedded supercells.
  • A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 600 are expected, with extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 70 knots.

Statistics:

  • Tornado watch area approximately 95 miles east and west of a line from Durant, OK to Harrison, AR.
  • Multiple supercells and clusters expected to spread northeastward.
  • Several tornadoes and a couple intense tornadoes likely.
  • Widespread large hail and scattered very large hail events to 3.5 inches in diameter likely.
  • Widespread damaging winds and isolated significant gusts to 80 mph likely.
  • Peak gusts may reach up to 70-80 mph.
  • Large hail up to 2.5-3.5 inches in diameter also appears likely with embedded supercells.

Sources:

  • NWS Storm Prediction Center: Tornado Watch Number 297
  • NWS Storm Prediction Center: Tornado Watch Number 297 - Outline Update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU7)
  • Note: The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.

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