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Food supply

Central Asia's Food Security Concerns: A Rising Risk for Tajikistan and Kyrgyzstan

Strategic Insights

— 2 min read

As the region's economic instability and high food prices converge with climate-related stressors, Central Asia's food security situation continues to deteriorate. The 2025 Global Report on Food Crises, published by the Food Security Information Network, has identified Tajikistan and Kyrgyzstan as areas of concern for food security. The report highlights the region's heavy reliance on remittances and ongoing struggle with inflation, as well as climate-related disruptions to agricultural yields. Tajikistan, in particular, is vulnerable due to its weak infrastructure, small domestic market, and high poverty levels.

Key Takeaways:

  • The 2025 Global Report on Food Crises has identified Tajikistan and Kyrgyzstan as areas of concern for food security due to economic instability, high food prices, and climate-related stressors.
  • The region's reliance on remittances and its ongoing struggle with inflation exacerbate the food insecurity situation.
  • Tajikistan's vulnerability is compounded by weak infrastructure, a small domestic market, and high poverty levels.
  • The Eurasian Development Bank projected that Tajikistan's food security could drop from 56.7% to 53% by 2035, due to climate change.
  • The bank also forecasted a 15% reduction in grain yields and a 9-11% decline in fruit and vegetable production in Tajikistan by 2035.
  • Rising prices for basic goods, falling agricultural output, water shortages, and escalating logistical challenges are observable trends in the region.
  • President Emomali Rahmon has acknowledged the crisis and called for swift, coordinated efforts to strengthen food system resilience.
  • Proposed remedies include efficient land use, adoption of energy-saving technologies, agricultural innovations, investment in scientific research, and expanded replanting initiatives.

Statistics:

  • Tajikistan's food security decreased from 56.7% to 53% by 2035, according to the Eurasian Development Bank.
  • The bank forecasted a 15% reduction in grain yields and a 9-11% decline in fruit and vegetable production in Tajikistan by 2035.
  • The 2025 Global Report on Food Crises identified 59 countries facing acute food crises.
  • The report states that the situation in Central Asia, especially in Tajikistan and Kyrgyzstan, is worrying due to economic difficulties, high food prices, and vulnerability to climate shocks.

Sources:

  • Food Security Information Network (FSIN). (2025, May 16). 2025 Global Report on Food Crises. Retrieved from [https://reliefweb.int/report/world/2025-global-report-food-crises](https://reliefweb.int/report/world/2025-global-report-food-crises)
  • Eurasian Development Bank. (2024, August). Food Security in Tajikistan: Challenges and Prospects. Retrieved from [https://www.eabr.org/eng/news/food-security-tajikistan](https://www.eabr.org/eng/news/food-security-tajikistan)
  • President Emomali Rahmon. (2025, May 17). Address at the Seminar-Meeting in the Danghara District.

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