Climate Change Disrupts Asian Bamboo Distribution, New Research Shows

Researchers from Nanjing Forestry University in China have conducted a study to investigate the impact of climate change on the distribution of Asian bamboo species. The genus of Asian bamboo, Phyllostachys, is the most species-rich in the Bambusoideae subfamily and holds significant ecological and economic values. The study used the MaxEnt model combined with ArcGIS calculations to simulate current and future potential richness distributions under three distinct CO2 emission scenarios.

Key Takeaways:

  • The study found that climate change disrupts the distribution of species and restructures their richness patterns, with 18 Phyllostachys species exhibiting significant habitat contraction across three or more future climate scenarios.
  • The main environmental variables that impacted the future distribution of most Phyllostachys species were elevation, variations of seasonal precipitation, and mean diurnal range.
  • Suitable habitats for some Phyllostachys species will expand under future climate projections, with the center of maximum richness shifting southwestward over time.
  • The study used distribution data of 46 species and 20 environmental variables to simulate current and future potential richness distributions.
  • Predictive modeling of Phyllostachys richness distribution dynamics under climate change enhances understanding of its biogeography and informs strategic introduction programs to bamboo management.
  • The study was financially supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China (NSFC) and the Key Research Projects of Yibin.

Statistics:

  • 46 species of Phyllostachys were used in the study.
  • 20 environmental variables were used to simulate current and future potential richness distributions.
  • The MaxEnt model had a mean area under the working characteristic curve (AUC value) of 0.91 for all species.
  • 18 Phyllostachys species exhibited significant habitat contraction across three or more future climate scenarios.
  • The suitable habitats for some Phyllostachys species will expand by up to 40% under future climate projections.

Sources:

  • Effects of Climate Change On the Richness Distribution of phyllostachys Species In China. Journal of Forestry Research, 2025;36(1).
  • NewsRx. Study Data from Nanjing Forestry University Update Understanding of Climate Change (Effects of Climate Change On the Richness Distribution of phyllostachys Species In China). Global Warming Focus. October 20, 2025; p 544.