Indian Banks Raise Interest Rates Following RBI's Surprise Hike

Indian banks have collectively raised their interest rates following the Reserve Bank of India's (RBI) more-than-expected hike in interest rates by 50 basis points. The move aims to combat an ever-increasing inflation, but comes at a cost, making home, automobile, and commercial loans dearer for consumers. The rate hike has sent bond yields and swap rates higher, and stock prices lower. Lenders, including SBI, Bank of India, Punjab National Bank, IDBI Bank, and many others, have hiked their base rates and benchmark prime lending rates (BPLR) by varying margins, ranging from 40 to 75 basis points. As a result, the effective rates have increased, impacting borrowers and the broader economy.

Key Takeaways:

  • The RBI raised interest rates by 50 basis points, the 11th hike since March 2010, to combat inflation, which has been revised up to 7 percent from 6 percent.
  • Banks such as SBI, Bank of India, Punjab National Bank, IDBI Bank, and others hiked their base rates and BPLR by varying margins, with the maximum hike being 75 basis points.
  • The hikes are largely effective from August 1, 2011, except for Yes Bank and Bank of India, which implemented the changes on July 26 and 28, respectively.
  • The rate hike has resulted in bond yields and swap rates increasing, while stock prices have fallen.
  • Economists predict that the rate hike may slow down India's economic growth and industrial production, potentially dragging GDP growth below 8 percent.
  • RBI's governor, Duvvuri Subbarao, stated that the rate hike suggests that the RBI's assessment of inflation is far more dire than the market and its tolerance much less.
  • HDFC Bank chief economist Abheek Barua: "The 50-basis points hike suggests that the RBI's assessment of inflation is far more dire (it revised its year-end inflation forecast up from 6 to 7 percent) than the market and its tolerance much less."

Statistics:

  • RBI's 11th interest rate hike since March 2010, with a total increase of 450 basis points.
  • Average interest rate hike across various banks: 50-75 basis points.
  • Base rates increased by banks such as SBI, Punjab National Bank, IDBI Bank, etc.: 10.75-10.5 per cent.
  • BPLR increased by banks such as Punjab National Bank, IDBI Bank, etc.: 15-16.25 percent.
  • Total bonds outstanding in India as of March 2011: Rs 8.9 trillion.
  • India's GDP growth rate: 8.5-8.6 percent in the previous two quarters.
  • RBI's inflation forecast: 7 percent for the year-end.

Sources:

  • "Indian Banks Raise Interest Rates Following RBI's Surprise Hike" - Domain-b.com, 2011
  • "RBI hikes interest rates by 50 basis points" - Domain-b.com, 2011
  • "State-run Bank of India hikes base rate, revises BPLR" - Domain-b.com, 2011
  • "IDBI Bank Ltd hikes base rate, BPLR by 75 basis points" - Domain-b.com, 2011
  • "Yes Bank raises base rate, BPLR by 50 basis points" - Domain-b.com, 2011