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Governors

New Jersey Gubernatorial Race: Sherrill Leads by 8 Points in Final Days of Campaign

Strategic Insights

— 1 min read

As the New Jersey gubernatorial election nears its end, Democratic candidate Mikie Sherrill has taken a notable lead over Republican candidate Jack Ciattarelli, according to a poll conducted by Quinnipiac University. The poll, released on October 31, shows Sherrill with 51% support, while Ciattarelli trails behind with 43%. The polling also reveals that Sherrill has a significant advantage with women voters, with 57% supporting her compared to Ciattarelli's 37%.

Key Takeaways:

  • Mikie Sherrill leads Jack Ciattarelli 51-43% in the final days of the New Jersey gubernatorial election.
  • Sherrill has a significant advantage with women voters, with 57% supporting her compared to Ciattarelli's 37%.
  • Independents are split, with 47% backing Ciattarelli and 44% backing Sherrill.
  • Democrats 94-1% back Sherrill, while Republicans 93-4% back Ciattarelli.
  • Ciattarelli wins on taxes, with 72% of likely voters who say taxes are the most important issue to their vote backing him.
  • Sherrill wins on health care and ethics in government, with 87% and 78% of likely voters who say these issues are the most important to their vote backing her, respectively.

Statistics:

  • 1,166 New Jersey likely voters were surveyed from October 23rd-28th with a margin of error of +/- 3.8 percentage points, including the design effect.
  • 20 percentage points advantage with women fuels Sherrill's overall lead of 8 points over Ciattarelli.
  • 47% of likely voters say taxes are the most important issue in deciding who to vote for in the election for governor.
  • 16% say ethics in government is the most important issue, and 14% say health care.
  • 94-1% of Democrats back Sherrill, while 93-4% of Republicans back Ciattarelli.

Sources:

  • Quinnipiac University Poll: "NJ Governor's Race: Sherrill 51%, Ciattarelli 43%" (October 31, 2021)
  • Quinnipiac University Poll: "Quinnipiac University New Jersey Poll Finds; Voters' Top Issues: Ciattarelli Wins On Taxes, Sherrill Wins On Health Care & Ethics In Government" (October 31, 2021)
  • Quinnipiac University: "The Quinnipiac University Poll, directed by Doug Schwartz, Ph.D. since 1994, conducts independent, non-partisan national and state polls on politics and issues."

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