New Study Reveals High Risk of Postoperative Atrial Fibrillation in Elderly Lung Cancer Patients

A study published in the Journal of Thoracic Disease has found that elderly patients undergoing lung cancer surgery are at a high risk of developing postoperative atrial fibrillation (POAF), which can lead to serious complications such as heart failure, myocardial infarction, pulmonary embolism, and ischemic stroke. The study aimed to develop and validate a nomogram for predicting POAF in elderly lung cancer patients and found that a combination of factors, including age, respiratory illness, non-hypertensive cardiovascular diseases, pulmonary lobectomy, anti-infection treatment, lymph node dissection, and drainage duration, were predictive of POAF.

Key Takeaways:

  • The study found that the incidence of POAF was 8.65% in the observation period, highlighting the high risk of POAF in elderly lung cancer patients.
  • The nomogram developed by the researchers included age, respiratory illness, non-hypertensive cardiovascular diseases, pulmonary lobectomy, anti-infection treatment, lymph node dissection, and drainage duration as predictors of POAF.
  • The predictive model showed satisfactory consistency, with an AUC value of 0.782 (0.734-0.830) and 0.782 (0.734-0.835) for internal and external validation, respectively.
  • The study suggests that the nomogram can assist clinicians in POAF prevention and management for elderly lung cancer patients.
  • The study highlights the importance of considering multiple factors when predicting POAF in elderly lung cancer patients.

Statistics:

  • 8.65% of patients developed POAF during the observation period.
  • The nomogram included 7 variables as predictors of POAF: age, respiratory illness, non-hypertensive cardiovascular diseases, pulmonary lobectomy, anti-infection treatment, lymph node dissection, and drainage duration.
  • The AUC value of the predictive model was 0.782 (0.734-0.830) and 0.782 (0.734-0.835) for internal and external validation, respectively.

Sources:

  • NewsRx. Researchers from Zhoushan Hospital Provide Details of New Studies and Findings in the Area of Atrial Fibrillation (Development and Internal Validation of a Nomogram To Predict Postoperative Atrial Fibrillation In Elderly Patients With Lung ...). Cancer Weekly. October 21, 2025; p 1874.
  • Journal of Thoracic Disease. Development and Internal Validation of a Nomogram To Predict Postoperative Atrial Fibrillation In Elderly Patients With Lung Cancer. 2025.