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Mayors

NYC Mayor's Race: Mamdani Leads, Stark Generational Divide Among Voters

Strategic Insights

— 1 min read

Zohran Mamdani, the Democratic candidate, has taken a 10-point lead over Andrew Cuomo, the independent candidate, and Curtis Sliwa, the Republican candidate, in the final days leading up to the New York City mayoral election. According to a Quinnipiac University poll, 43% of likely voters support Mamdani, while Cuomo receives 33% support and Sliwa receives 14%. A stark generational divide exists among NYC's likely voters, with 64% of 18-34 year olds backing Mamdani, compared to 39% of 65 years of age and over who prefer Cuomo.

Key Takeaways:

  • Zohran Mamdani leads with 43% support among likely voters, a 10-point lead over Andrew Cuomo.
  • Cuomo receives 33% support, and Curtis Sliwa receives 14% support among likely voters.
  • The candidates have made their case, with early voting underway, but the percentage of likely voters not weighing in has increased, suggesting room for movement in the final stretch.
  • Age breakdown: 18-34 year olds (64% back Mamdani), 35-49 year olds (50% back Mamdani), 50-64 year olds (41% back Cuomo), and 65 years of age and over (39% back Cuomo).
  • 59% of Democrats back Mamdani, 31% back Cuomo, and 4% back Sliwa.
  • 45% of Republicans back Cuomo, 44% back Sliwa, and 5% back Mamdani.
  • 34% of independents back Cuomo, 34% back Mamdani, and 18% back Sliwa.

Statistics:

  • 43% of likely voters support Mamdani.
  • Cuomos' support stands at 33%.
  • Sliwa has 14% support among likely voters.
  • 92% of likely voters backing Mamdani say they will not change their minds.
  • 90% of likely voters backing Cuomo say they will not change their minds.
  • 81% of likely voters backing Sliwa say they will not change their minds.
  • 45% favorable opinion of Mamdani among likely voters.
  • 34% favorable opinion of Cuomo among likely voters.
  • 29% favorable opinion of Sliwa among likely voters.
  • 26% of likely voters consider crime as the most important issue in deciding who to vote for in the election for NYC mayor.

Sources:

  • Quinnipiac University Poll
  • Original text: https://poll.qu.edu/poll-release?releaseid=3940

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