Sustainable Agriculture Research Highlights Precision Farming Potential
Precision agriculture and sustainable farming require accurate crop yield prediction and mapping, but research in Prince Edward Island (PEI), Canada, has highlighted a literature gap in potato yield prediction data. A study conducted by the University of Guelph, with support from the Natural Sciences and Engineering Research Council of Canada (NSERC), has demonstrated the potential of high-resolution satellite imagery and machine learning (ML) for potato yield prediction.
Key Takeaways:
- The study focused on four plots in PEI during the 2021 and 2022 growing seasons, collecting potato crop yield data using a combined harvester and manual digging.
- High-resolution multispectral imagery and ML were used to predict potato yields, with satisfactory results from three ML algorithms: random forest regression (RFR), classification and regression trees (CART), and gradient tree boosting (GTB).
- The GTB model with Sentinel-2A and harvester data produced slightly higher estimation accuracy, with R2 values of 0.71-0.78, RMSE values of 2.82-5.96 t/ha, and MAE values of 2.33-4.2 t/ha.
- The research concluded that the approach used in the study provides real-time seasonal yield prediction maps on a field scale, helping farmers identify targeted areas for variable rate application and promoting resource efficiency and sustainability.
- The study highlights the need for improved data-driven precision agriculture in PEI and the potential of high-resolution satellite imagery and ML for potato yield prediction.
Statistics:
- The study analyzed potato crop yield data from four plots in PEI during the 2021 and 2022 growing seasons.
- The GTB model produced R2 values of 0.71-0.78, RMSE values of 2.82-5.96 t/ha, and MAE values of 2.33-4.2 t/ha.
- The study used Sentinel-2A and PlanetScope imagery, as well as harvester and manual digging data, to train and evaluate the ML models.
Sources:
- "Optimizing Potato Yield Mapping and Prediction: Integrating Satellite-based Remote Sensing and Machine Learning for Sustainable Agriculture" (Computers and Electronics In Agriculture, 2025; 237).
- Gurjit S. Randhawa, University of Guelph, School of Computer Science (author).
- Natural Sciences and Engineering Research Council of Canada (NSERC) (supporting organization).
- Gurjit S. Randhawa, et al. "Optimizing Potato Yield Mapping and Prediction: Integrating Satellite-based Remote Sensing and Machine Learning for Sustainable Agriculture" Computers and Electronics In Agriculture, 2025;237.