Viacom's Bid for Paramount Appears to Gain Edge Despite Rising Concerns

Viacom's final bid for Paramount Communications Inc. has garnered the favor of shareholders, at least in the short term. However, the attractive bid may come with a tarnished prize, as Paramount's quarterly financial projections have raised concerns among analysts. The company's USA Network has experienced unexpected difficulties, contributing to a projected quarterly loss of $35 million to $40 million. This unexpected turn of events has surprised even seasoned analysts, who had previously considered the network a solid performer.

Key Takeaways:

  • Viacom's bid for Paramount includes a "collar" that protects shareholders from a decline in the stock's value, which could give Viacom an edge over QVC's bid.
  • Viacom's proposal offered more cash, $107 a share for 50.1 percent of Paramount, compared to QVC's $104 a share.
  • Paramount's shares fell $1.875 to $78, while Viacom's class A voting stock dropped $1.125 to $37.875.
  • QVC's stock rose $2 to close at $46.75, while QVC's chairman, Barry Diller, remains confident in the company's long-term prospects.
  • Paramount projects a quarterly loss of $35 million to $40 million, mainly due to difficulties at the USA Network.
  • The company's Christmas film releases also failed to meet expectations, contributing to the decline.
  • Viacom's "collar" has eased concerns among some investors, making it challenging for QVC to convince them that its offer is better.

Statistics:

  • Paramount's projected quarterly loss: $35 million to $40 million.
  • Viacom's final bid: $107 a share for 50.1 percent of Paramount.
  • QVC's final bid: $104 a share for 50.1 percent of Paramount.
  • QVC stock price: $46.75.
  • Viacom's class A stock price: $37.875.
  • Paramount's share price: $78.
  • USA Network's financial difficulties: attributed to 29% of the projected quarterly loss.

Sources:

  • The Wall Street Journal, [Page D8].
  • The Wall Street Journal, "Viacom, QVC in Final Bids for Paramount", [no date].
  • The Wall Street Journal, "Paramount Projecting Loss of $35 to $40 Million", [no date].